Tuesday, July 18, 2006

Plan B

ST. PETERSBURG, Russia (CNN) -- An open microphone caught President Bush in an unguarded moment Monday as the escalating crisis in the Middle East prompted him to use an expletive in a conversation with British Prime Minister Tony Blair.

Bush and Blair were aware that an event at the Group of Eight summit was a photo opportunity, with media representatives present. Blair later turned off the microphone.

The president was expressing frustration at the United Nations' stance on the Israeli-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon. (Watch Bush use the 's' word during a chat with Blair -- 1:31)

Apparently not expecting an open mic to pick up his remarks, Bush told Blair: "See the irony is what they need to do is get Syria to get Hezbollah to stop doing this shit and it's over." More...

The real irony of what George said is that it is Israel who needs to "stop doing this shit". If anyone needs to call anyone, its George to Ehud telling him to stop his shit stirring. That's the only way out of this mess.

But then we already know that the 3 amigos of Bush, Blair and Olmert are part of the problem and not the solution. They want a wider war and they want to destroy what's left of Palestine, Lebanon, Syria and Iran. The current offensive is Plan B - Plan A was the ludicrous ploy to attack Iran on the basis of it's entirely legal nuclear program, which has got bogged down in negotiations at the UN. It was never really going to fly as a Casus Belli and thus we are now witnessing the fall-back option.

Plan B is about neutralizing Palestinian and Hizbollah resistance before turning the gunsights on Syria and Iran. Israeli military planners may be mad dogs, but unfortunately they are not stupid. An earlier direct attack on Syria or Iran (who share a mutual defense pact), would have seen Hamas and Hizbollah resistance being aided by Iran and Syria to move the frontlines closer to Israel. What Israel is now doing, which makes strategic sense for them, is that they are preparing the battlefield on their terms, while proclaiming to be the "victim".

We should assume that Olmert's trip to the US and Europe at the end of May was about consolidating the final planning and getting the go ahead for Plan B from George and Tony. Shortly after getting back to Tel-Aviv, Plan B was activated. With a few, but calculated incidents to get the ball rolling in Phase 1, Israel began to provoke Hamas. The June 8 assassination of SamHadana and the June 9 bombing of Palestinian beach goers
were designed to undermine the fragile Hamas truce.

When these provocations finally had the desired effect, and resitance fighters captured a Israeli soldier, Plan B was made fully operational and Phase 2 was launched on June 25. The ongoing lockdown of Gaza was elevated to a siege, and through merciless bombing the Israelis have sought to degrade all Palestinian resistance. Knowing that this would in turn provoke a response by Hizbollah, Phase 3 was activated when Hizbollah captured 2 Israeli soldiers on July 12 and Israel opened up a second front in Lebanon.

The current objective is to degrade Hizbollah and blockade Lebanon in the hope of wearing down the resistance before launching the next Phase. Subsequent Phases will probably follow the same pattern, of provocations intended to draw in Syria and Iran once it is determined that Hamas and Hizbollah have been sufficiently destabilized. The Lebanese people are having to endure yet more Israeli aggression because, ultimately Israel is intent on annexing vast swathes of the region to establish a greater Israel. The Litani River has always been desired by Israel as it's northern border.

Through genocide, ethnic cleansing and state terror the project here is to establish a regional power that dominates the Middle-East and controls the oil and water resources of the region. To realise that goal, Israel needs to subjugate both Syria and Iran and they believe that they have the backing of Team America to do that.

Plan B is in full swing - if we can't stop this now then we are all going to be confronted with a major conflict in the Middle-East that is going to threaten the very fabric of civilisation as we know it. This conflict has all the ingriedients for spinning out of control and it will affect everyone on the planet.

So yes, let's "stop doing this shit" but not the way George sees it.

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